Economy

Trump Attributes Stock Market Highs to Anticipation of His Comeback

Published January 30, 2024

On a recent Monday, Donald Trump, the former President of the United States, made a striking declaration regarding the state of the stock market under current President Joe Biden. He suggested that record levels are chiefly driven by investor confidence, betting on his potential return to the office of President.

Trump's Perspective

Utilizing his Truth Social platform, Trump announced his conviction that the thriving markets are connected to his favorable standing in various polls against Biden. He further emphasized that the positive Wall Street outlook is a direct projection of his anticipated victory in future elections.

"THIS IS THE TRUMP STOCK MARKET BECAUSE MY POLLS AGAINST BIDEN ARE SO GOOD THAT INVESTORS ARE PROJECTING THAT I WILL WIN, AND THAT WILL DRIVE THE MARKET UP," were Trump’s exact words in a post on Truth Social.

Polling and Political Responses

Recent polls reflecting the general election matchup reveal Trump with a lead averaging 3.8 percentage points over Biden, according to a compilation by Real Clear Politics. Despite Trump's bold claims, Biden's campaign has quickly dismissed these assertions as desperate attempts by Trump to claim credit for the stock market's performance under the Biden administration.

Historical Assertions and Wall Street Reactions

This is not the first occasion Trump has linked his political fortunes to stock market outcomes. He has consistently warned of market crashes should he not secure the presidency and made comparisons to former President Herbert Hoover. Trump underscored this point before the 2020 election and reiterated it prior to the recent Iowa caucuses.

Moreover, Trump has posited that his electoral success correlates with international market movements, claiming that his strong performance in the Iowa Caucus negatively impacted China's stock markets, implying Beijing's concern over his potential re-election.

Yet as the 2024 elections near, certain measures of Wall Street sentiment, such as the Cboe Volatility Index, indicate rising unease among traders, reflecting a significant level of market anxiety.

Biden’s Counter-Claims

Meanwhile, President Biden has not held back in his retorts, highlighting recent stock market success to counter Trump's predictions. He recalled Trump's ominous pre-2020 election forecast, where Trump had projected a catastrophic market crash if Biden were elected - a prediction that clearly did not materialize.

Investors, Trump, Biden, StockMarket, Elections, WallStreet, Claims