Economy

Hope for Borrowers as Interest Rates Expected to Hold Steady for December

Published December 4, 2023

As the festive season approaches, borrowers across Australia may receive an early Christmas gift in the form of rate stability. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is anticipated to maintain the current interest rate, providing relief to many amidst rising living costs.

Mortgage Relief on the Horizon

Households grappling with mortgage stress might see a pause in their financial strain with expectations of no increase in interest rates before Christmas. Particularly, workers in their middle years with average incomes are finding themselves under intense financial pressure, an issue brought to light by recent research from Suicide Prevention Australia.

Weakening Inflation Spurs Rate Hold Predictions

With inflation showing signs of easing, the RBA seems poised to keep the cash rate unchanged at 4.35 percent in their upcoming meeting. A drop in the headline inflation rate in October has provided grounds for economists, including those from Australia’s big four banks, to forecast no rate hike.

A Delicate Balance for the RBA

While the shadow board of the RBA remains split on the decision, there is a notable 50 percent chance being ascribed to keeping rates steady. The RBA’s aim has been to curb inflation, which remains above the desired target range, but the pressing concern now is to stabilize the economy without overburdening borrowers.

Rate Hikes Take Their Toll

The series of interest rate increases has led to higher repayments for mortgage holders, pushing budgets to their limits. Research indicates that middle-aged earners are particularly at risk of financial distress and associated mental health issues.

Suicide Prevention Australia Raises Concerns

A concerning trend has emerged among middle-aged, mid-income workers who, according to Suicide Prevention Australia, are six times more likely to exhibit suicidal behaviors than their retired counterparts. The financial burdens they face have been exacerbated by the economic conditions, leading to increased levels of distress.

As the country watches for the RBA's decision, the possibility of a rate pause offers a glimmer of hope during a challenging period. Community support services like Lifeline and beyondblue are also available to provide assistance to those in need.

borrowers, rates, relief