Stocks

Evaluating IBM Stock Investment at a 52-Week High

Published January 19, 2024

Amidst the surging popularity of artificial intelligence (AI) in the technology sector, International Business Machines (IBM), commonly known as Big Blue, has seen its stock price soar. After hitting a 52-week low in May at $120.55, IBM's stock witnessed a steady rise, peaking at $166.34 in December. Entering 2024, the stock price of IBM hovers around that 52-week high, prompting investors to wonder whether it's too late to join the rally.

Even with IBM shares nearing their peak value, certain factors suggest that the company may still be a worthwhile investment. Let's delve into why IBM could still present a valuable addition to long-term investment portfolios.

IBM's Ambitious Growth Avenues

IBM has strategically positioned itself in two burgeoning markets: AI and cloud computing. AI alone could potentially see its annual revenue catapult to nearly $2 trillion by 2030, which represents a significant leap from the $208 billion recorded in 2023. IBM envisions AI and cloud computing not as isolated sectors but as integrated markets, focusing on a hybrid model approach that benefits from utilizing massive datasets in the cloud.

In the realm of cloud computing, IBM specializes in the hybrid cloud, merging public cloud affordability with the bespoke security and control of a private cloud. This blend suits regulated industries—like finance, government, and healthcare—perfectly, allowing for a tailored cloud solution. In parallel, IBM predicts that AI will also adopt a hybrid approach, synergizing various AI models from different sources, including IBM's own. This outlook proves advantageous for IBM's AI solutions, especially given their integration with the company's Red Hat hybrid cloud platform.

Gauging the Impact of IBM's Strategic Moves

IBM's strategy of intertwining AI with cloud computing has been fruitful, reflected in the sales figures. Big Blue's AI and data division enjoyed a 6% revenue spike in the third quarter, while the Red Hat cloud services also saw an impressive 9% increase. These segments are part of IBM's vigorous software arm, responsible for producing $6.3 billion out of the company's total $14.8 billion in third-quarter sales.

Additionally, IBM's roster of 20,000 AI consultants proved invaluable in the widely reported AI adoption surge, aiding the company's consulting arm in bolstering its third-quarter revenues to $5 billion—another 6% year-over-year increase. The company is also venturing into the nascent field of quantum computing, an innovative area that could redefine computing via quantum physics. Notably, IBM has collaborated with Cleveland Clinic on quantum computing to enhance healthcare research.

Contemplating the Purchase of IBM Shares

The company's quantum advancements and other tech innovations aren't the only reasons to consider IBM stock. Investors also find appeal in IBM's substantial dividend yield of 4%, with a history of increased payouts for the past 28 years. The company's Q3 free cash flow (FCF) was a robust $1.7 billion, evidencing its capacity to sustain dividend payments.

IBM's valuation also presents an attractive case for investment. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands considerably low at 22, when compared with competitors like Amazon and Microsoft, who dominate the cloud computing space with much higher P/E ratios. Furthermore, IBM sits within the world's top 10 cloud computing entities, demonstrating its ability to secure meaningful market share even amid formidable competition. Combined with its growth strategy, appealing valuation, and a high-yield dividend, IBM's shares can be a compelling choice for long-term investment consideration.

Investment, IBM, Stock