Earnings

NXP Semiconductors on Track to Outshine Earnings Projections Once More

Published January 10, 2024

Investors often seek stocks likely to surpass earnings expectations, and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) is emerging as a promising candidate. Operating within the sophisticated field of Semiconductor - Analog and Mixed, NXPI has cultivated a notable track record of beating earnings projections, potentially positioning itself for continued success in its forthcoming financial announcement.

A History of Earnings Surprises

NXP Semiconductors has demonstrated an impressive capability to outperform earnings estimates, a trend evidenced over the past two reports. The company has exceeded expectations with an average surprise of 4.12%, bolstering investor confidence in its financial strength.

In its latest reported quarter, expectations set NXPI's earnings at $3.58 per share. However, the company outdid these projections, delivering earnings of $3.70 per share, thereby exceeding estimates by 3.35%. The quarter preceding that saw the company surpass the consensus estimate of $3.27 per share by posting actual earnings of $3.43 per share, marking a 4.89% surprise. These successive earnings beats highlight NXPI's consistent performance.

Indications of Further Earnings Beats

A favorable shift in recent estimates suggests that NXPI's upward earnings trajectory could continue. Utilizing the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) — a metric that aligns the Most Accurate Estimate with the Zacks Consensus Estimate — analysts display optimism about NXPI's near-term earnings potential. A positive Earnings ESP, alongside a solid Zacks Rank, is historically indicative of future earnings beats.

An analysis reveals that stocks with both a positive Earnings ESP and at least a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) typically deliver a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time. Currently, NXP boasts an Earnings ESP of +0.12%, paired with a Zacks Rank #3, hinting at another prospective earnings beat.

It's crucial to bear in mind, however, that while a negative Earnings ESP weakens its forecast accuracy, it doesn't necessarily confirm an earnings shortfall. Furthermore, some stocks may still perform well or retain their value regardless of meeting or missing EPS projections.

Prior to a company's earnings report, analyzing its Earnings ESP can be instrumental in making more informed investment decisions. This practice could significantly enhance the chances of a profitable outcome. Investors are encouraged to use the Earnings ESP Filter to identify the most advantageous stocks before their earnings are officially presented.

earnings, semiconductors, NXPI