ETFs

The Prime ETF Pick for 2024: Dow Jones Industrial Average Dominates the Play

Published December 30, 2023

When pondering where to invest as we approach 2024, one might consider sectors that have experienced a pullback, often setting the stage for a potential rebound. While tech and the consumer sectors were hard-hit, and thus appealing choices in 2023, investors currently have their eyes set on value and consistent income, which could turn them away from the generally high valuations often associated with growth-driven sectors.

Balanced Exposure with the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

Amid these conditions, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA) emerges as a promising candidate. DIA's blend of diversified industry exposure and time-tested companies suggest that putting money into the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is a shrewd move for 2024.

One common critique of the DJIA is its price-weighting system, which prioritizes stock price over market capitalization. This is in contrast to indices like the S&P 500 or the Nasdaq Composite, which are market-cap weighted and consequently give more influence to behemoths such as Apple and Microsoft. Despite its imperfections, the price-weighting approach offers a surprising level of equilibrium, rewarding well-performing stocks with a greater slice of the index over time.

Many DJIA constituents have a weighting of 2-5%, with a select few exceeding the 5% threshold or dipping below 1%. The heavyweights are often lucrative, providing dividends and boasting moderate growth prospects, such as UnitedHealth, Goldman Sachs Group, and Home Depot.

The DJIA showcases a wider array of sectors, notably valuing sectors associated with consistent returns, differentiating it significantly from indices that are heavily skewed towards tech and communication stocks. This unique sector allotment implies over 30% of the DJIA is still tethered to growth sectors, providing a balanced investment profile.

Concentration as a Strategic Edge

The DJIA's composition of only 30 stocks means each selection carries more weight and represents their sector extensively, unlike the broader approach of the S&P 500. This lends the DJIA the character of a concentrated investment portfolio, with a spotlight on industry leaders.

Although there are DJIA stocks that may not stir excitement, such as IBM or Cisco Systems, collectively these less favored stocks account for a minor 6.7% of the index. Importantly, the DJIA's structure allows surging stocks to enhance the index's performance, exemplified by UnitedHealth and potentially Microsoft in the near future.

Overall, the DJIA's allocation towards sector leaders in growth, value, and income positions it as a potent mix tailored for risk moderation and sector diversification.

Ideal for the Cautious Investor

The suitability of the DJIA must be assessed by investors on an individual basis. Those seeking explosive growth may not find the DJIA as fitting, given that established conglomerates have limited space for dramatic shifts. Instead, the DJIA aligns with investors who prioritize low risk and steady gains, whether due to risk aversion, capital preservation, or a strategic slowdown in risk exposure as 2024 nears.

While it's uncertain if the DJIA will outshine the S&P 500 or Nasdaq, there's a historical pattern of strength during bear markets, inspiring confidence that the DJIA can be a hedge against the turbulence found in the more volatile segments of the market.

DowJones, ETF, Investing