Markets

Stock Market Shows Uneven Rally with Losers Outnumbering Winners, a Phenomenon Not Seen Since 1987

Published February 5, 2024

In an unusual turn of events reminiscent of post-Black Monday, the stock market displayed a potentially troubling sign as the number of declining stocks outpaced advancers by a two-to-one ratio on a recent Friday. Not since the infamous day in 1987 has such a market pattern been observed. Top economist David Rosenberg has indicated this lopsided distribution as a harbinger of an unsustainable rally. The prevalence of more losers than winners on a day when the market itself concluded higher raises questions about the underlying strength and continuity of the current market rally.

An Echo of the Past

This recent market movement has drawn comparisons to October 20, 1987, the day after Black Monday, when the stock market underwent a catastrophic drop. The current anomaly in the market's behavior has put investors and analysts on alert. The sentiment echoes a time of extreme volatility and market uncertainty. However, it is essential to note that while historical patterns may offer insights, they do not necessarily predict future outcomes.

Rosenberg's Analysis

David Rosenberg, a respected voice in economic matters, sees the recent market statistics as a negative indicator. In his view, when the market's breadth is weak and winners are few, it underscores a vulnerability in the supposedly bullish trend. According to Rosenberg, a sustainable rally typically exhibits a more balanced or even a higher number of advancing stocks in relation to decliners, showcasing investor confidence across a broader range of sectors and companies.

Stocks, Rally, 1987