Markets

Australian Stocks Rise on Mining and Tech Gains with Upcoming RBA Meeting

Published May 3, 2024

Australian stock markets witnessed an uplift on Friday primarily due to strong performances in the mining and technology sectors. As investors anticipate the upcoming monetary policy meeting by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), they are keen to discern potential signals regarding interest rate directions. The S&P/ASX 200 index increased by 0.4% to 7613.40 as of 0010 GMT, poised to mark its most successful week since the end of March, following a 0.2% rise on Thursday.

Anticipation of RBA's Rate Decision

The RBA is scheduled to hold a two-day meeting on May 6-7, which has become the center of investors' attention. Market participants are looking to this upcoming event for clearer insights into the future course of the central bank's interest rate policy. Current market odds, as indicated by the ASX RBA Rate Tracker on May 1, suggest a 95% probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in the forthcoming session.

ANZ analysts have predicted a hawkish tilt in the post-meeting statement compared to the previous one in March. They expect significant adjustments to be made in the bank's inflation commentary and a return to a more hawkish tone in concluding remarks.

Mining and Financial Sectors Shine

The mining sector spearheaded the stock market gains, with an increase of 0.5%. Leading mining corporations BHP Group and Rio Tinto both witnessed their share prices rise by 0.4%. Despite this, the mining sub-index is on track for its third consecutive weekly loss.

Financials, sensitive to rate changes, also saw a 0.3% rise. The 'Big Four' banks experienced upticks ranging from 0.1% to 0.7%. In contrast, Macquarie Group, the country's largest investment bank, reported a steep 32% decrease in annual profit, resulting in a 2% drop in its shares during early trading. Nonetheless, financial stocks are eyeing their strongest week since March 22.

Technology and Gold Stocks' Mixed Fortunes

Technology stocks mirrored the success of their counterparts on Wall Street, ascending by approximately 1.1% overall. Among the tech leaders, Xero Ltd demonstrated progress with a 1% increase in stock value.

In contrast, gold stocks experienced a decline of 0.4% in the wake of sinking gold prices, which are influenced by expectations of the U.S. maintaining higher interest rates for a prolonged period. Evolution Mining, a prominent gold extraction firm, saw its share value drop by around 2.8%, reaching its lowest point since April 23.

In New Zealand, the benchmark S&P/NZX 50 index also witnessed a decrease, falling by 0.2% to 11851.91.

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