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How to Capitalize on the Santa Claus Stock Rally with Three Potential Winners

Published December 11, 2023

December Outshines as the Month for Stock Gains

Did you know that December is the prime time for stock markets, boasting gains in 74% of instances? This is particularly true in pre-election years, just like the current year, where since 1950, the S&P 500 Index has enjoyed an average boost of 2.9% during December.

The Santa Claus Rally Timing

Contrary to popular belief, the Santa Claus rally, a seasonal uptick in stock prices, is not a month-long event but is typically concentrated between December 15th and January 5th. If historical patterns hold true, we're on the brink of this year's rally starting soon.

Strategies Behind the Rally: Window Dressing & Performance Chasing

Year-end market behavior often includes 'performance chasing', where investors jump on the bandwagon of the year's winners in the hope that their good fortune will carry on. Simultaneously, 'window dressing' sees fund managers tweaking their portfolios to look attractive by the year's end. With significant gains already, the Nasdaq 100 ETF, laden with tech stocks, is likely to benefit from these behaviors.

Selecting Stocks That Could Benefit from the Santa Claus Effect

To leverage the Santa Claus rally, it is wise to choose stocks with a robust chart setup, significant year-to-date (YTD) gains, and popularity among institutional investors. Finding stocks that have already shown strong momentum is key since they tend to continue their upward trajectory.

Three Stocks with a Promising Outlook

Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Capitalizing on AI Growth

Super Micro Computer is a big player in the AI sector, providing high-performance computing solutions essential for AI applications. Despite a recent share offering that could dilute value, the stock's resilience to negative news is an encouraging sign of its strength and potential to surge as the year winds down.

Carvana (CVNA): A Turnaround Story?

Carvana has revolutionized the car buying experience with its online platform and automated car vending machines. After a rocky 2022, Carvana has made a surprising comeback to profitability in 2023. With extraordinary YTD gains, and a high level of short interest, the stock might see a squeeze that pushes prices higher by year-end.

Snowflake (SNOW): A Bet on Software Resurgence

Snowflake's data warehousing services are more relevant than ever in today's data-driven world. Despite significant growth, valuations have slumped, creating what could be an attractive opportunity for investors seeking growth at a reasonable price, making it an enticing pick before the year's end.

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