Markets

Wall Street Steadies Ahead of Thanksgiving with Eyes on Potential Year-End Rally

Published November 20, 2023

As the Thanksgiving holiday approaches, Wall Street is showing signs of stability following a triumphant three-week streak of advances. The anticipation for a calm market period is reflected in the equity futures, which, half an hour before the market opening, indicate a start that's expected to dovetail neatly with the previous close.

Recent Market Surge and Future Outlook

The American stock markets have made a notable comeback since late October. The S&P 500 index, for instance, has surged by nearly 10% in just the past three weeks. Although recent gains have painted a rosy picture, the initial wave of optimism fueled by declining inflation and a seemingly less aggressive Federal Reserve stance is starting to plateau.

Thanksgiving's Market Impact

Wall Street typically sees reduced trading volumes during Thanksgiving week, a trend that is likely to stall new market movements. With the markets closed on Thanksgiving Thursday and operating only a half-day on the following Black Friday, the focus may shift to the retail sector, which historically benefits from the start of the holiday shopping season.

Confidence in Year-End Rally

Despite the calm, analysts and strategists express confidence in the market's resilience and foresee a strong end-of-year rally, backed by favorable economic indicators. Encouraging predictions suggest that, with inflation cooling and expectations of interest rate cuts around mid-2024, the markets could maintain the upward trajectory into the next year.

However, the path to growth isn't always straightforward. After such impressive gains, the markets could experience a brief period of consolidation as investors digest the recent climbs and position themselves for the next moves.

Analysts remain hopeful that there are few obstacles capable of derailing the anticipated Christmas rally and that investors' appetites will remain undiminished throughout the holiday season.

Stability, Thanksgiving, Rally