Markets

Canadian Stock Futures Decline as Investors Await CPI Data

Published November 20, 2023

On Monday, futures for Canada's primary stock index, the S&P/TSX, experienced a modest decline. This dip by 0.1% at 7:23 a.m. ET is seen as a reflection of investor caution, with many waiting for upcoming domestic consumer inflation and retail sales data, which could provide insights into the monetary policy trajectory of the Bank of Canada (BoC).

Economic Data in Focus

The financial community is setting its sights on the consumer inflation data due Tuesday, expected to reveal a slowdown in the annual inflation rate for October to 3.2% from the previous month's 3.8%, based on a Reuters poll. Additionally, September's domestic retail sales figures, scheduled for release on Friday, are anticipated to give further indications regarding the direction of the BoC's interest rate decisions.

Market Influences and Corporate News

Canada being rich in commodities means that its market is heavily influenced by the prices of oil, precious, and base metals. Along with economic data, gold prices are currently on investors' radar; they've seen a slight pullback from the two-week highs reached in the previous session. Conversely, U.S. Treasury yields have regained some strength, with the financial world also awaiting the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes to discern the central bank's policy stance.

On the corporate front, Canadian mining company First Quantum Minerals reported a reduction in ore processing at its Panama mine due to blockades at a local port that have hampered shipments of necessary supplies.

Canada's economic flirtation with a recession is notable, especially with an expected slowdown in the U.S. growth, which may prompt the BoC to contemplate interest rate cuts earlier than previously anticipated. Meanwhile, commodity prices have exhibited variations with gold futures dropping by 0.5%, while US and Brent crude have shown increments by 1.7% and 1.6%, respectively, indicating the sensitivity of the TSX to such fluctuations.

Canada, Stocks, Inflation