Economy

UK Enters Technical Recession with Unexpected Contraction in Q4

Published February 15, 2024

As of the last quarter of the previous year, the United Kingdom's economy has officially fallen into a technical recession. This was revealed by early statistical data on Thursday. A recession of this nature is generally identified when the economy experiences negative growth for two back-to-back quarters.

Economic Shrinkage

The Office for National Statistics has reported a shrinkage in the UK's gross domestic product (GDP) by 0.3% during the final three months of 2023, marking it the second straight quarter of downturn. This contraction was more severe than the widely anticipated forecast of a 0.1% fall by experts.

Sectoral Downfall

All key domains of the economy witnessed a contraction in the same period. The services sector saw a decline of 0.2%, whereas production and construction output fell by 1% and 1.3%, respectively. This collective decline signifies widespread economic challenges.

Annual Growth Stagnation

The economy's annual performance was also underwhelming, registering an almost negligible growth of 0.1% across 2023, juxtaposed with the growth figures of 2022. December experienced a decrease in output by 0.1%, adding to the signs of ongoing economic strain.

Inflation and Household Impact

In spite of a reduction in inflation rates, the cost of living in the UK remains considerably elevated. This continues to exert pressure on household finances, with the latest consumer price index showing a 4% inflation rate year-on-year as of January, which far exceeds the Bank of England's target of 2%.

recession, GDP, inflation