Derivatives

A Deep Dive into Microsoft's Options Market Dynamics

Published November 7, 2024

Investors are currently showing a strong bullish interest in Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), which should catch the attention of retail traders.

This notable activity was highlighted when large trades appeared in publicly tracked options history.

While it remains unclear if these trades come from institutional investors or wealthy individual traders, significant movements in Microsoft's options market often indicate that investors anticipate important changes ahead.

So, how can we identify what these investors are doing?

Recently, an analysis revealed 36 unusual options trades related to Microsoft, showcasing behavior that is not typical in the market.

The overall attitude among these substantial traders appears divided, with 44% leaning towards bullish positions and the remaining 44% taking bearish stances.

Out of the trades detected, 5 were puts totaling $252,456, while 31 were calls amounting to $1,473,346.

Expected Price Movements

By examining the volume and open interest of these options contracts, it seems major players are targeting a price range between $285.00 and $695.00 for Microsoft in the past quarter.

Insights into Volume & Open Interest

Understanding the volume and open interest is crucial for trading options as it gives insights into the liquidity and interest at various strike prices for Microsoft. The trends in volume and open interest for call and put options can be observed over the last 30 days.

Microsoft 30-Day Option Volume & Interest Snapshot

Further analysis may reveal ongoing trends.

Largest Options Trades Observed:

Symbol PUT/CALL Trade Type Sentiment Exp. Date Ask Bid Price Strike Price Total Trade Price Open Interest Volume
MSFT CALL SWEEP BULLISH 11/15/24 $5.1 $5.0 $5.06 $422.50 $172.8K 1.3K 2.7K
MSFT CALL SWEEP BULLISH 11/15/24 $13.0 $12.95 $13.0 $410.00 $130.0K 3.0K 106
MSFT PUT SWEEP BEARISH 11/15/24 $2.61 $2.55 $2.58 $417.50 $70.3K 893 368
MSFT CALL TRADE BEARISH 01/17/25 $12.55 $12.5 $12.5 $430.00 $68.7K 6.5K 454
MSFT PUT TRADE NEUTRAL 12/20/24 $7.05 $6.95 $7.0 $415.00 $68.6K 3.3K 299

About Microsoft

Microsoft is a leading company that develops and licenses software for both consumers and enterprises. The company is most recognized for its Windows operating system and the Office productivity suite. Microsoft is divided into three main segments:

  • Productivity and Business Processes, which includes Microsoft Office and cloud-based solutions like Office 365.
  • Intelligent Cloud, featuring services such as Azure and SQL Server.
  • More Personal Computing, encompassing Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, and Surface devices.

After gathering insights from the options trading surrounding Microsoft, a deeper evaluation of the company's market position and performance is warranted.

Current Position of Microsoft

  • The stock’s trading volume stands at 6,777,549, with MSFT priced at $425.84, reflecting a 1.35% increase.
  • Current Relative Strength Index (RSI) values suggest that the stock may be nearing an overbought condition.
  • The forthcoming earnings report will be released in approximately 82 days.

Expert Opinions on Microsoft

In the last 30 days, five professional analysts have provided their insights on Microsoft, calculating an average price target of $522.60.

Unusual Options Activity Detected: Smart Money on the Move

Remaining informed through platforms that spot unusual options activity can be beneficial. Notable opinions from analysts include:

  • An analyst from Morgan Stanley maintains an Overweight rating with a target price of $548.
  • Truist Securities continues to hold a Buy rating with a target of $600.
  • The analyst from UBS has a Buy rating aiming for a price of $500.
  • Goldman Sachs also retains a Buy rating with a target at $500.
  • JP Morgan upholds an Overweight rating with a target price of $465.

Options trading can entail higher risks paired with the possibility of greater rewards. Successful traders manage their risks by staying informed, adjusting strategies as needed, and closely watching market movements. To ensure you're always up to date on Microsoft’s options trades, consider using real-time alert services.

Microsoft, Options, Trading