Economy

Anticipating Producer Price Index Movements - A Survey Overview

Published January 11, 2024

This week, financial markets await the release of the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers with keen interest, as they serve as a significant indicator of inflationary pressures within the economy. A collection of median forecasts has been gleaned from an assortment of economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal, aiming to project the probable outcomes for the remaining key economic data pertaining to the United States.

Predictions for Producer Price Index

Recently updated on Monday afternoon, the forecast anticipates a slight increase in the Producer Price Index for December. The expectation stands at a consensus of a 0.1% rise, a marginal elevation from the previous figure of 0.0%. In addition, analysts predict a 0.2% increase in the PPI when discounting the volatile food and energy components, which also reflects a minor uptick from the prior 0.0%.

Furthermore, when considering the index excluding food, energy, and trade, projections hold at a 0.2% increase. This number, if accurate, would convey a slight acceleration from the previous increment of 0.1% recorded in the earlier period. The figures within parentheses next to the consensus data represent the number of economists who were consulted for the survey.

Impact on Market Sentiments

These predictions carry weight as they help to forge the expectations and sentiment within various financial markets. The Producer Price Index, which measures changes in selling prices received by domestic producers of goods and services, is watchfully observed as it can foreshadow forthcoming trends in inflation, significantly influencing decisions made by businesses, investors, and policymakers alike.

PPI, Inflation, Forecast