Commodities

Iron Ore Dips Below $100 as China's Economic Slowdown Triggers Market Slump

Published March 18, 2024

In a recent downturn, iron ore prices have continued their decline, falling below the critical $100 mark. This drop is a part of a broader slump within the commodities sector, with iron ore being among the hardest hit. As the market anticipates industrial production data from Asia’s largest economy, China, investors are grappling with emerging signs of a weakened steel industry, which fundamentally drives demand for iron ore.

Market Reaction Ahead of Chinese Data

The commodity’s price continued to slide, reaching its lowest point since May of the previous year, trading well below $100 per ton. This decline comes prior to the release of industrial production data, which could provide further insights into China’s economic health and its impact on the demand for iron ore. Iron ore futures in Singapore saw a drop of up to 3%, plunging to $97 a ton, following a significant 13% decrease observed last week.

Factors Behind the Decline

The sharp fall in iron ore prices, amounting to over 25% since the year began, is primarily attributed to the weakening demand from China. The country faces considerable challenges within its property sector - a significant consumer of steel. Consequently, some steel mills in the nation have resorted to scaled-back production. Additionally, ANZ Group Holdings Ltd.’s analysts note that there have been apparent reductions in output from Chinese smelters.

Inventories of iron ore at Chinese ports, which are indicative of supply levels, have surged - exacerbating the downward pressure on prices. These reserves reached 140.9 million tons last week, marking the highest in over a year. Meanwhile, iron ore prices for the month of April reflected a modest drop, trading at $99.65 per ton.

iron, China, economy