Economy

Euro Rises as Eurozone Evades Recession, Aussie Dollar Drops Before CPI Data

Published January 30, 2024

The Euro has witnessed a broad recovery bolstered by the latest GDP data, indicating that the Eurozone has barely escaped a technical recession. This has also triggered a significant rally in German treasury yields. Meanwhile, the British Pound and the Swiss Franc have faced selling pressure, relinquishing some of their recent strengths against the Euro. As the market anticipates the CPI data release this Thursday, it has become the new center of attention for the Euro.

In contrast, the Australian Dollar has weakened, impacted by market pullbacks in China and Hong Kong. Doubts persist about the efficacy of China's market rescue plan, causing investor confidence to wane. Ahead of China's PMI reports and Australia's quarterly CPI data release, Aussie traders are proceeding with caution.

Other currencies, like the Japanese Yen and the US Dollar, are following suit behind the Euro in strength. Conversely, the Swiss Franc and the British Pound are weaker, and the Canadian and New Zealand Dollars are showing a mix of performances.

Market indices in Europe showed moderate gains with FTSE, DAX, and CAC indices trending upwards. The prospect of a smooth transition in monetary policy remains a focus in the Eurozone, with ECB council member Boris Vujcic advocating for gradual rate changes and downplaying recession risks. The latest data from the Eurozone suggest stability in GDP for Q4, avoiding contraction and showcasing growth in certain member states despite downturns in others, such as Germany.

Looking forward, analysts will be closely monitoring currency movements, particularly the AUD/JPY as Australian and Japanese economic indicators continue to influence the market.

Euro, GDP, CPI