Stocks

Traditional Automakers See Renewed Investor Interest as EV Hype Cools

Published March 18, 2024

In an intriguing turn of events, traditional automakers, often dubbed the Big Three, are witnessing a revival of investor interest. This shift comes amidst a palpable slowdown in the electric vehicle (EV) market, which has been the focal point of the automotive industry's future. Investors are now giving a second look at veteran car companies revered for their iconic gasoline-powered vehicles and profitable hybrids.

Rising Shares for Old-guard Automakers

While the EV sector experiences a slump, with falling stock prices, the legacy automotive firms are on the uptick. General Motors Co., Ford Motor Co., and Stellantis NV, once seen as vestiges of the industry's past, are gaining traction as their shares rise and analysts signal confidence in their enduring value. Despite Tesla's dominance, its market value has decreased substantially from its peak, whereas its traditional counterparts enjoy a combined market cap that, while smaller, is gaining momentum.

The Profitable Reality of Internal Combustion Engines

Internal combustion engine vehicles continue to be the industry's bread and butter, responsible for the lion's share of profits. These profits are what enable legacy companies to pay dividends and perform share buybacks, unlike Tesla, which has neither issued dividends nor engaged in recent buyback discussions. Furthermore, traditional automakers' valuations present a stark contrast to the high earnings multiples of EV companies, offering a more attractive proposition for investors wary of the risks associated with high-growth but volatile EV stocks.

Adjusting to a Slower EV Market

The cooling of EV sales has caught the market by surprise, prompting price reductions and squeezing profit margins for pure-play EV companies. Meanwhile, cash-flow, profit, and revenue outlooks for traditional companies are looking up. Analysts emphasize the importance of cash return and capital efficiency in an industry where capital is increasingly scarce, and strategic priorities are shifting.

The Future Automotive Landscape

While EVs are undeniably the direction in which the industry is headed, the current market suggests that internal combustion engines will support automotive giants for years to come. As environmental policies push towards EV adoption, established carmakers, with their substantial profits and operational experience, offer a level of investment safety during a time when the EV segment's fiery growth begins to simmer.

Automakers, Evolution, Investment