Commodities

Commodity Markets See Fluctuation: Gold Nears $2,000 Mark, Oil Declines, and Copper Hits Two-Month High

Published November 21, 2023

Commodity Capsule: In the latest developments around commodity markets, the trends seem to be mixed as various factors influence the prices. Oil has witnessed a decline following a period of sharp gains. Increased anticipation for Federal Reserve insights and potential production cuts by major oil-producing nations kept traders in a speculative mood. A series of disappointing economic indicators from around the world have exacerbated concerns about a potential slowdown in demand for oil.

Oil Prices in Motion

The possibility of production reductions by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is making headlines as a meeting is set for November 26, where further cuts could be discussed. Some analysts believe this could lead to tighter supply conditions, potentially supporting oil prices into the next year. After recording three consecutive days of solid growth, crude oil benchmarks experienced a bit of profit-taking. Despite potential economic challenges, JPMorgan expects oil prices to stabilize around an average of $83 per barrel in 2024.

Gold's Gleaming Prospects

Turning to precious metals, gold prices saw an ascent, partly due to a weakening of the U.S. dollar. Investors are eagerly awaiting the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest meeting, which could shed light on the expected direction of interest rates. December gold futures are currently flirting with a significant milestone, inching ever closer to the $2,000 an ounce threshold and sitting at a two-week peak. The dip in U.S. dollar value against other currencies came as the market began to price in the likelihood of interest rate reductions by the next year. Moreover, the US 10-year Treasury yields are lingering around their lowest in two months.

Copper Climbs amidst Supply Concerns

On the industrial metals front, copper prices advanced to a two-month high driven by apprehensions over supply disruptions in Peru and Panama coupled with the softer U.S. dollar. The price of copper on the London Metal Exchange surpassed the $8,450 mark per metric ton for the first time since mid-September, with the December copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange also showing similar gains. Notably, the mining sector is facing strikes, with workers at the Las Bambas copper mine in Peru commencing an "indefinite" strike soon, and First Quantum Minerals conducting maintenance due to coal supply issues brought on by protests at its Cobre Panama mine.

In other related commodities news, Malaysian palm oil futures rose, backed by an uptick in Chinese soy demand. Still, a stronger domestic currency and sluggish exports put a cap on the gains. Meanwhile, China's imports of soybeans from Brazil saw a sharp rise, courtesy of favorable pricing and an abundant harvest in the South American nation.

gold, oil, copper