Stocks

Ulta Beauty (ULTA) Experiences a Drop Despite Market Trends: Key Insights

Published October 31, 2024

Ulta Beauty (ULTA) recently closed trading at $376.22, reflecting a decrease of -0.95% from the previous trading day. This decline was more substantial than the overall market, which saw the S&P 500 drop by 0.33%. In comparison, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.22%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite dropped 0.56%.

In the month leading up to this trading session, Ulta Beauty's shares had experienced a slight increase of 0.19%. Meanwhile, the Retail-Wholesale sector faced a decline of 0.22%, while the S&P 500 managed to gain 1.83%.

Upcoming Earnings Report

Attention now shifts to Ulta Beauty's forthcoming earnings announcement, where analysts predict an earnings per share (EPS) of $4.45. If this estimate holds true, it would signify a 12.23% drop compared to the same quarter last year. The consensus estimate for revenue stands at $2.49 billion, indicating a modest growth of 0.04% from the previous year's quarter.

For the upcoming year, analysts project earnings of $23.07 per share and revenue of $11.19 billion, which represent declines of 11.37% and 0.17% from the prior year, respectively.

Analyst Sentiment and Stock Performance

Investors should pay attention to any recent changes in analyst estimates for Ulta Beauty. Adjustments in these estimates often reflect the evolving landscape of the short-term business environment. Positive revisions in estimates suggest a favorable outlook from analysts on the company's business and profitability.

Research indicates that shifts in analyst estimates are closely associated with the stock's future performance. Investors can track these adjustments using the Zacks Rank, a system that enables easy interpretation of the stock's potential based on estimate changes.

The Zacks Rank ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), boasting a strong track record of delivering high returns, with #1 stocks averaging an annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate for Ulta Beauty has seen a decrease of 0.62%, currently holding a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).

Valuation Metrics

From a valuation perspective, Ulta Beauty is currently trading with a Forward P/E ratio of 16.47, which is higher than its industry average Forward P/E of 12.15.

Moreover, Ulta has a PEG ratio of 2.18, which accounts for the company's expected earnings growth rate, mirroring the average PEG ratio for the Retail - Miscellaneous industry, which also stands at 2.18 as per the latest trading session.

The Retail - Miscellaneous industry is a part of the broader Retail-Wholesale sector, which currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 88, indicating it falls within the upper 35% of over 250 different industries.

Industry Performance and Future Outlook

The Zacks Industry Rank evaluates the strength of each industry by measuring the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within those industries. Historical data shows that the highest-rated industries outperform lower-rated ones by a factor of two to one.

To stay updated on Ulta Beauty's performance in upcoming trading sessions, investors are encouraged to leverage the resources available on various financial websites.

Ulta, Beauty, Earnings