Markets

Nasdaq 100 Reaches New Heights as Interest Rate Cuts Are Anticipated

Published December 16, 2023

The Nasdaq 100 Index celebrated a significant milestone recently as it reached a record high for the first time in two years. This surge in value is largely attributed to a rallying big tech sector, bolstered by the Federal Reserve's hint that it may ease up on its aggressive interest rate hikes—a move that suggests potential rate cuts could be coming in 2024.

A Rally in Big Tech

On a landmark Friday, the Nasdaq 100 climbed by 0.5% to hit 16,623.45, a number that eclipsed its previous high from November 2021. This growth can be seen as part of a broader 'risk-on' trend that has been evident since the beginning of the year, setting the index on a path for its most successful year since 2009.

Investors have witnessed a remarkable run in this tech-centric index since January, calling into question the cautious stance many held after a less than stellar performance in 2022. The momentum gained in the first half of the year made it the best launch to a year on record, and recent statements from policymakers suggest that the rate hiking period could be drawing to a close.

The Impact of Interest Rates on Tech Stocks

High interest rates tend to impact stocks, especially those in the tech sector, quite substantially. With the Federal Reserve signaling a move away from rate hikes and possibly adjusting to cuts in the future, the Nasdaq 100, which is particularly sensitive to such changes, has benefited immensely.

The tech-heavy index had previously taken a hit after experiencing a fall by a third of its value in the year following the Fed's intense rate hikes. Now, with a rebound rooted in optimism for advancements like artificial intelligence and anticipation of the Fed's pivot to more accommodating monetary policy, the Nasdaq 100 is enjoying a renewed vigor.

Looking Ahead

Market optimists see technology continuing to lead the charge in the U.S. equity space. The promise of AI driving productivity growth and a slight uptick in earnings across the board—particularly in tech companies—indicates that this growth trend could continue, with a preference for growth stocks over value stocks in the upcoming year.

Historically, the Nasdaq 100 has seen long periods without setting any records, such as the 15-year lull following the dot-com bust. However, the record high reached on that auspicious Friday, following an impressive 11% gain in November, showcases its resilient and bullish nature in today's market.

Nasdaq, Record, Rates