Derivatives

Strategies for Navigating Nvidia's Earnings Influence on the Market

Published May 21, 2024

Investors heavily anticipate Nvidia's earnings report, with expectations rising especially within the technology sector. With the earnings week at its peak, Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) emerges as a spotlight with its upcoming financial revelation. Historical data suggests that tech stocks typically dip by about 0.1% after announcing better-than-expected earnings, and a steeper 5.7% following a dual miss on revenue and earnings forecasts.

The Growing Impact of Nvidia

Nvidia has notably made its mark on the market, particularly since its successful artificial intelligence-driven quarter the previous year, which saw the company's valuation skyrocket. As Nvidia's influence burgeons, its financial performance now plays a pivotal role across different market segments.

Nvidia and SMCI Options as Market Hedges

To combat the volatility stemming from Nvidia's earnings report, investors have been advised to consider options strategies, particularly involving Nvidia and Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ:SMCI). Options straddles, which entail the simultaneous buying of a call and put option with identical strike prices and expiration, are suggested for leveraging significant market moves in either direction. According to analyst Gonzalo Asis, hedging with Nvidia options could present greater value compared to alternative strategies using indices or other securities linked closely to the semiconductor industry.

Asis' analyses reveal that the profit and loss potential from a theoretical NVDA earnings straddle shows SMCI outperforming NVDA, albeit by a slim margin. However, Asis warns that the slight edge may not justify the inherent risks.

The cost of Nvidia's options, specifically the 90% puts and 110% calls, sit at around 1.2% and 1.6%, respectively. These figures underscore the financial considerations investors must weigh when deciding how to shield their portfolios in the face of Nvidia's market-shifting earnings announcement.

Nvidia, Earnings, Options