Commodities

US Oil Price Dip As Inventories of Gasoline and Distillates Surge

Published January 10, 2024

Oil prices experienced a dip on Wednesday following the latest inventory data from the United States, which indicated a significant build-up in gasoline and distillate stocks for the second consecutive week. Additionally, reports revealed an increase in crude oil stocks.

During the early afternoon trading session, Nymex WTI crude oil prices, which had surged over 1% earlier in the day, took a downturn to $72.30 per barrel, effectively erasing the day's gains. Similarly, Brent crude prices retracted to $77.53 per barrel after previously climbing about 1%, resulting in a marginal drop of 0.1%.

The popular exchange-traded fund (ETF), the United States Oil Fund (USO), which closely follows the pricing trends of U.S. light-sweet crude, saw a slight decrease of 0.1% to $67.35. Earlier in the session, it had reached a peak of $68.68.

Building Supplies of Gasoline and Distillates

According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), crude oil inventories saw an increment of 1.3 million barrels in the week leading up to January 5. This rise partially counteracted the significant drawdown of 5.5 million barrels witnessed in the week prior.

The quantities of gasoline stocks have continued their robust ascent, with an addition of 8 million barrels in a single week, which follows an even larger increment of 10.9 million barrels the week before. Distillate stocks, encompassing diesel and heating oil, went up by 6.5 million barrels, coming after a substantial rise of 10.1 million barrels previously.

Experts like Warren Patterson have pointed out that with seven consecutive weeks of rising distillate stocks, concerns about the tightness in the middle distillate market, particularly for heating oil during peak winter months, could be alleviated.

Stable Oil Prices Anticipated for 2024 and 2025

The EIA has also made projections encouraging the view of stable crude prices, foreseeing no significant change throughout the years 2024 and 2025. The assessment suggests that the global supply and demand for petroleum liquids will likely remain well-balanced during this period.

Furthermore, the EIA has attributed the strong growth in petroleum consumption over the past two years to economic expansion and a resurgence in travel to pre-pandemic levels. Estimates are that global consumption could increase by 1.4 million barrels per day in 2024 and by 1.2 million barrels per day in 2025.

Gasoline Pump Prices Hold Steady

Meanwhile, the cost of gasoline at U.S. pumps continues to hover around a two-year low, with the average price of a gallon of regular gas recorded at $3.085 on Wednesday afternoon.

Market analysts, such as Patrick De Haan from Gas Buddy, suggest that prices might decline slightly in the coming days. However, potential cold weather could impact refinery operations and possibly prevent the nation's average from dropping below the $2.99 mark.

oil, energy, prices