Markets

Asian Markets Exhibit Caution as US Stocks Rise and Bond Yields Dip

Published November 22, 2023

Asian equities are gearing up for a subdued start to Thursday's trading session in light of a modest uptick in US stock markets and a drop in Treasury yields. This market behavior follows new data suggesting that consumer expectations of ongoing inflation might not wane soon.

Muted Movements in Asian Futures

With US equities experiencing slight gains, Asian markets are showing signs of caution. Australian equity futures show little movement, whereas futures in Hong Kong point to a slight decline. This comes despite the gains made by an index tracking US-listed Chinese companies. Nevertheless, Japanese markets will remain closed for a holiday, pausing any immediate response from one of Asia's major economies.

US Consumer Data Affects Treasury Yields

As the S&P 500 nudged upwards Wednesday, Treasury yields moved in the opposite direction. This shift occurred soon after the revelation that US consumers anticipate inflation to continue at a high rate. A University of Michigan report indicated that the expected annual inflation rate over the next year is now 4.5%, a marginal increase from a prior 4.4% forecast. Market analysts express concern that persistent inflation expectations may challenge the Federal Reserve's efforts to manage inflation and public sentiment.

The Impact on Global Currencies

Amidst the fluctuation in yields, the US dollar experienced a resurgence against other key currencies, arresting its earlier decline in the week. The yen, on a less volatile note, remains above the 149 mark against the dollar following its previous session's weakening.

Asia-Pacific Economic Indicators in Focus

In other Asian financial news, Indonesia is projected to maintain its benchmark interest rate. Investors are also keeping an eye on forthcoming economic indicators from Taiwan and Singapore, including industrial production and consumer prices, respectively.

Chinese Market Developments

China's ongoing property sector issues continue to be a focal point. Shenzhen has introduced measures to encourage property buying, signaling possible stabilization efforts for the sector. Moreover, influential developers such as Country Garden Holdings and Sino-Ocean Group have appeared on a tentative list for financing support in China, reflecting strategic measures to bolster the industry.

Oil Prices and OPEC+ Considerations

Commodities, notably oil, have also felt the market's pulse as prices declined following the announcement that OPEC+ may postpone a meeting, potentially indicating a delay in production cuts aimed at price support. Both Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate saw reductions of nearly 1% in response.

Market Outlook

As the global markets continue to digest these developments, the careful movement in Asian shares serves as a reminder of the intricate interplay between consumer sentiment, governmental policy decisions, and international economic dynamics.

Asia, Shares, Treasuries