Markets

EMEA Morning Briefing: Anticipation for Fed Minutes Amid Quiet Stock Futures

Published November 21, 2023

European stock futures were rather subdued amid a quieter session, while Asian markets took a positive lead from the previous Wall Street session, with climbing equities, a weaker dollar, and varying Treasury yield outcomes. Oil futures saw a decline, contrasting with the uptick in gold prices.

Stock Outlook

Despite a muted start in European stock futures, Asian markets remained upbeat, possibly fueled by investor optimism regarding the potential of artificial intelligence, as signaled by Wall Street's overnight gains. Eyes are on Nvidia for their upcoming earnings, which could significantly impact the market sentiment. Experts express high hopes for AI and companies like Microsoft and Nvidia that are leveraging AI's capabilities. Furthermore, there's speculation around the Federal Reserve's next move, with some analysts expecting a shift from rate hikes to cuts. The anticipated release of the Fed's last meeting minutes is eagerly awaited for insights into their policy trajectory.

Currency and Bonds

The U.S. dollar experienced some softening in Asian trading hours, possibly as traders adjusted positions in light of the upcoming U.S. holiday. On the other hand, Treasury yields presented a mixed picture and recently drew interest due to the strong demand for 20-year government bond auctions. Investors are looking forward to the Fed's November meeting minutes, especially since the market will experience a shorter trading week because of Thanksgiving.

Commodity Movements

Oil futures retracted slightly, which could be a correction after two sessions of increase. Speculations around OPEC+'s potential decisions in their next meeting regarding production cuts add to the market's anticipation. As for metals, gold has seen a rise, with predictions circling about the Fed nearing the end of its rate-increasing cycle and possible future rate cuts. Copper and iron ore prices are also affected by supply concerns and optimism around fiscal stimulus, particularly in China. Market analysts suggest that precious metals might see continued support on the back of these rate shift narratives.

Other Market Indicators

In the spotlight are Nvidia's performance, the outcome of policing U.K. reinsurance broker malpractices, the escalating conflicts affecting Israeli border security, and uncertain futures at OpenAI. Chinese real estate stocks are also showing signs of rejuvenation, thanks to policy support hopes.

stocks, fed, futures