Markets

U.S. Market Futures Hold Steady in Anticipation of Holiday-Shortened Week

Published November 20, 2023

As the new week commences, U.S. stock market futures indicate a calm start with the S&P, Dow, and Nasdaq showing little change ahead of the trading day. This stability comes at the beginning of a week that is shortened due to the Thanksgiving holiday, a time when trading volumes may decrease as participants take time off for celebration.

Market Prospects

No significant economic data is scheduled to be released prior to the market opening on Monday, setting a quiet tone for the day. Futures for the S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU), and Nasdaq-100 (NDX:IND) are all hovering near the break-even point, indicating a lack of directional bias as the trading week begins.

Analysts foresee a subdued period for economic announcements, which could influence the market's current sentiment that a moderate economic cooldown in the U.S. may be on the horizon. Kit Juckes from Societe Generale notes that while upcoming European PMI figures this Friday might highlight the lackluster growth in Europe, the market is likely to overlook U.S. PMI data in favor of more impactful releases like the ISM report, employment numbers, and upcoming inflation data in the following weeks.

Bond Market Movements

The fixed income market is showing some activity with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield (US10Y) inching up 2 basis points to reach 4.46%, while the 2-year yield (US2Y) remains unchanged at 4.90%. These movements in yields provide investors with clues about market expectations for interest rates and economic growth.

Looking Ahead

Although Monday's economic calendar is light, later in the day, October's leading economic indicators report will be released, where economists predict a decline of 0.7%. This data could potentially offer insights into future economic trends.

Other market narratives such as the relationship between inflation figures and market performance, the future of stock market rallies, sentiment shifts among bearish investors, and the potential for small-cap stocks to recover next year, are all areas being closely monitored by investors and analysts.

S&P, Dow, Nasdaq