Finance

Morgan Stanley's Optimism on BlackRock's Financial Prospects Ahead of Earnings Report

Published January 4, 2024

Morgan Stanley's analyst, Michael Cyprys, anticipates investment management corporation BlackRock, Inc (NYSE: BLK) to reveal its earnings to the public before the start of trading on January 12th. This scheduled disclosure is keenly watched by investors and market experts alike.

Financial Forecasts for BlackRock

Cyprys projects that BlackRock will have a slight revenue uptick of 0.6% compared to market consensus. However, he also foresees a 1.7% increase in adjusted expenses for the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2023. These two factors could potentially lead to a 1.5% dip in both adjusted operating income and earnings per share (EPS).

Key Points of Interest

The analyst is looking forward to BlackRock's commentary on various crucial topics during their earnings call. Key areas of interest include potential growth in the fixed income segment, the company's organic growth outlook amidst current market scenarios, chances of pursuing transformative mergers and acquisitions, impact of active and passive management fees variations, effects of foreign exchange and asset mix on profits, strategies for expense management, strategic goals for the coming year, and the management's views on growing sectors.

Analyst's Firm Stance on BlackRock's Stock

Cyprys has confidently increased his price target for BlackRock's stock from $897 to $952, which stems from a positive adjustment of 6.2% in future EPS predictions for FY25, based on a 20x target P/E multiple. He continues to maintain an 'Overweight' rating and has even positioned BlackRock as his Top Pick. This selection is backed by the company's advantage from a possible shift toward fixed income and a broader investment inflow in the markets.

Furthermore, BlackRock's diversified and robust business structure is believed to set the stage for the company to successfully ride out volatile economic conditions, attracting significant market inflows, and fostering organic growth. The strategic use of its Aladdin technology platform and the ability to partake in impactful mergers and acquisitions all contribute to the optimistic view held by the analyst.

Stock Price Movements

At the last market check, BlackRock shares were moving on an upward trajectory, showing a modest increase of 0.59%, and trading at $788.78.

BlackRock, Earnings, Analysis