Crypto

Economist David Rosenberg Critiques Bitcoin's Instability as an Investment

Published January 16, 2024

Renowned economist David Rosenberg, at the helm of Rosenberg Research, has recently expressed his skepticism towards the investment stability of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC/USD), likening them to gambling instead of prudent investing.

Investment Comparisons and Concerns

In his viewpoint, traditional investments like stocks offer ownership in a company's prospective earnings, while bonds and savings accounts provide a stable interest return. Equally, commodities have tangible industrial use, with demand that can be predicted through economic indicators. In contrast, Rosenberg equates investing in cryptocurrencies with the purchase of lottery tickets, making a pointed statement: "You want to get rich by believing in crypto 'currencies?' Then barbell your holdings with lottery tickets. Seriously — let's get a grip."

The Barbelling Strategy

Rosenberg refers to 'barbelling' as an investment approach that balances the pursuit of high returns with diligent risk management. This involves diversifying investments across high-risk and low-risk assets. He cautions about the volatility of Bitcoin and other digital tokens, supporting his skepticism by highlighting the sharp decline in Bitcoin's price from a two-year high of $49,000 to $44,000 within just 36 hours. This level of fluctuation prompts him to question the rationale of embracing such instability in one's investment portfolio.

The 'Greater Fool' Theory

Rosenberg expands his criticism by mentioning the 'greater fool' theory, which suggests the value of Bitcoin is based on speculative trading — the idea that these assets can be sold at a higher price to another investor, rather than on intrinsic value. His commentary emerges at a time when regulators in the U.S. are approving spot Bitcoin ETFs, a move that seemingly contrasts with his views on cryptocurrency volatility and investment soundness.

Broadening the Discussion on Speculative Investments

This is not Rosenberg's first time categorizing Bitcoin as speculative. He's been dismissive of its investment potential before, referring to it as being in a 'massive bubble'. Parallel to his opinions, other financial strategists like Mona Mahajan of Edward Jones have acknowledged Bitcoin ETFs as viable components of a speculative investment segment, suited for those with a higher risk tolerance.

The cryptocurrency market continues to reflect its unpredictable nature, with Bitcoin's price experiencing modest fluctuations in recent times. The debate on its legitimacy as a solid investment option rages on among economists and investors alike.

Bitcoin, Rosenberg, Investment