Markets

Higher UK Inflation Impacts Expectations of Bank of England Rate Cut

Published May 22, 2024

On Wednesday, London's stock market experienced a dip following the release of UK inflation data, which turned out to be stronger than anticipated. This has led to a reassessment of the prospects for a rate cut by the Bank of England.

Market Response to Inflation Data

Key stock indices such as the FTSE 100 fell by 0.3% to 8,388.43, and the FTSE 250 saw a decrease of 0.2% to 20,743.81, while the AIM All-Share marginally declined by 0.1% to 806.41. Simultaneously, the Cboe UK 100 dropped 0.3%, the Cboe UK 250 fell by an equal measure, and in contrast, the Cboe Small Companies edged up by 0.1%.

Impact on Currency Values

The British pound witnessed an uplift, trading at USD1.2722 in the afternoon, a slight increase from the previous day, and even experiencing a surge upon the inflation report's release. Meanwhile, the euro slightly declined against the dollar, and the USD gained strength against the yen.

Inflation Figures Explain Market Movement

The UK's consumer price index recorded a 2.3% rise in April year-on-year, slowing from a 3.2% increase in March. Despite being above the forecast of 2.1%, this rate is the lowest inflation has been since July 2021. Prices on a monthly basis have also shown an increase exceeding expectations. Analyst Joshua Mahony from Scope Markets highlights the division between the lower goods inflation and the higher services inflation, the latter being the main contributor to the ongoing inflation issues in the UK.

Bank of England and Federal Reserve's Next Steps

With the current inflation scenario less favorable than expected, it has affected market predictions regarding the Bank of England's potential decision to cut rates. Analysts are also awaiting the release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes to gauge future interest rate movements.

Corporate Performance amid Economic Data

In the retail sector, Marks & Spencer showed a robust performance while other retailers like JD Sports and Next saw their stocks fall following the inflation news. Furthermore, Mitchells & Butlers, renowned for its restaurants and pubs, reported a significant increase in profits and revenue.

Patent Success for Powerhouse Energy Group

In corporate development news, Powerhouse Energy Group has resolved a patent dispute positively, giving the company an edge in its waste-to-energy conversion technology.

Commodity Prices Noted

Commodity markets observed Brent oil and gold prices dropping slightly from their positions the previous day.

Inflation, Stocks, Pound