Economy

S&P Global Ratings Maintains A+ Credit Rating and Stable Outlook for China

Published December 6, 2023

In response to recent inquiries, S&P Global Ratings has indicated that there have been no amendments to its credit rating or economic outlook for China. The current A+ long-term sovereign credit rating, along with a stable outlook, remains unchanged since the last affirmation in June.

Comparison with Vietnam

Notably, financial comparisons have highlighted that Vietnam's government bonds now carry a lower interest rate than China's. Specifically, Vietnam's 10-year government bond interest rate stands at 2.418%, compared to China's at 2.703%. This shift suggests a changing landscape in investment risk assessment between the two nations.

Concerns About China's Real Estate Sector

Some economic critiques point to the oversized role of China's real estate sector, which is approaching a precarious level equivalent to nearly 20% of the country's GDP. This concentration signifies a potential 'bubble' risk, with a proportion exceeding 10% usually considered hazardous for economic stability.

Despite these concerns, it is worth noting that Vietnam's financial metrics do not represent the global norm, and the singular focus on comparisons with Vietnam may not fully encapsulate the broader economic picture.

China, CreditRating, EconomicOutlook