Stocks

Starwood Property Trust Gains Upgrade to Buy on Earnings Optimism

Published February 28, 2024

Starwood Property Trust (STWD) recently received an upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), indicating a bullish trend due to positive earnings estimate revisions. This upgrade suggests that there could be a potential increase in the company's stock price, driven by growing optimism about its future earnings.

Understanding the Zacks Rank

The Zacks Rank is a unique rating system that focuses solely on changes in a company's earnings forecasts. It takes into account the consensus of earnings per share (EPS) estimated by sell-side analysts who cover the stock. Movement in these estimates is what primarily influences the Zacks Rank.

The Impact of Earnings Estimates on Stock Prices

Stock prices are often influenced by the changes in earnings estimates. Institutional investors use these estimates to determine the fair value of stocks, and any revisions can lead to stock price movements. Starwood Property Trust's improved earnings outlook, as evidenced by the Zacks Rank upgrade, is a positive development that could lead investors to value the stock more favorably.

The Role of Earnings Estimate Revisions

Evidence suggests a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance. The Zacks Rank system effectively leverages this phenomenon by using earnings estimate revisions to categorize stocks, which has historically resulted in outperformance of higher-ranked stocks.

Earnings Estimates for Starwood Property Trust

Starwood Property Trust is projected to earn $2 per share in the fiscal year ending December 2024, representing a slight decrease from the previous year. However, analysts have increased their earnings estimates for the company over the past three months, reflecting incremental optimism.

The Significance of the Upgrade

The raising of Starwood Property Trust to a Zacks Rank #2 means it is now amongst the top 20% of stocks covered by Zacks in terms of positive estimate revisions. This enhanced position suggests the stock may experience upward movement in the short term.

Starwood, Upgrade, Earnings