Markets

S&P 500 and Nasdaq Futures Indicate a Positive Start to the Week with Market Attention on Fed Signals

Published May 20, 2024

At the beginning of the week, the U.S. stock market futures, including major indexes such as the Nasdaq and S&P 500, show a slight increase in early trading. This rise reflects a continuation of the recent upward trend, but with a hint of caution among investors. Market participants are closely monitoring the speeches of Federal Reserve officials, seeking clues about future interest rate decisions. This information is essential as it can greatly influence the market's direction.

Stock Futures Performance

The Nasdaq 100 futures are up by 0.22%, while the S&P 500 futures have gained 0.15%. In addition, the Dow futures show a modest rise of 0.07%, and the R2K is up by 0.12%. These positive movements are early indicators that the stock market may experience growth when the trading week begins.

Key ETFs on the Move

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) showed a slight increase of 0.12% at $530.10, and the Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) also traded higher by 0.20% at $452.68. These movements were reflected in the premarket trading data.

Last Week’s Market Recap

Last week's market saw some significant developments. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above the psychological milestone of 40,000 for the first time. The Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 indexes both continued their upward streak for four weeks in a row. Factors such as lower bond yields following expectations of rate cuts, sparked by tamer inflation data and some weak economic releases, contributed to this upward movement. Despite giving back some gains, stocks still finished the week notably higher.

Analyst Insights and Market Outlook

With earnings season coming to a close, major themes such as artificial intelligence, technology, inflation, and consumer spending are coming back into focus, according to fund manager Louis Navellier. He anticipates that the Federal Reserve may lower rates regardless of whether inflation falls below the 2% target set by the central bank.

Nvidia's earnings report, scheduled for release this week, is highly anticipated and viewed as a possible market catalyst. Nvidia has consistently exceeded earnings expectations over the last four quarters, and despite its perfect pricing, there is a general positive sentiment regarding the stock's valuation.

Upcoming Economic Events

This week is heavy with Federal Reserve events, including several speeches by the central bank's officials and the release of the May Federal Open Market Committee minutes. In addition, investors will watch for reports such as durable goods orders, weekly jobless claims, purchasing managers' indices, and home sales data. These reports have the potential to influence market behavior throughout the week.

Market Sectors and Global Markets

Oil futures have seen a slight downturn, while gold futures have rallied amid geopolitical tensions. The ten-year U.S. Treasury yield is somewhat weaker but still maintains a position above the 4.4% level. Bitcoin remains steady around the $67K mark. Globally, major Asian markets closed higher, and European stocks have started off strong.

Stocks, Futures, Economy