Analysis

Understanding Recent Analyst Stock Upgrades: A Deeper Look

Published December 8, 2024

While investors frequently rely on analyst ratings to inform their stock decisions, it is important to approach these ratings with caution. Analysts are essentially regular individuals working within a highly competitive environment, where making an incorrect stock call could jeopardize their careers and reputation.

This reliance on analyst ratings necessitates that investors pay greater attention to recommendations that deviate from the consensus view. Outlier ratings can significantly impact market perceptions, as analysts presenting price targets outside the common range must provide compelling reasons to justify their positions.

Three recent stocks that have received upgrades exceeding the consensus threshold offer intriguing investment opportunities. By examining the rationale behind these aggressive upgrades, investors can better understand why the analysts are serving up higher expectations. These stocks include CVS Health Co. (NYSE: CVS), The Kroger Co. (NYSE: KR), and Chewy Inc. (NYSE: CHWY).

CVS Health: Why Analysts Are Bullish

CVS has emerged as a key player in healthcare retail as its competitor, Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. (NASDAQ: WBA), has faced significant challenges. Walgreens has been closing underperforming stores and losing market share, leaving CVS as one of the primary providers in the market for health-related products and services.

CVS Health MarketRank™ Analysis

Overall MarketRank™

100th Percentile

Analyst Rating

Moderate Buy

Upside/Downside

27.5% Upside

Short Interest Level

Healthy

Dividend Strength

Strong

Environmental Score

-1.25

News Sentiment

0.96

Insider Trading

N/A

Projected Earnings Growth

16.92%

CVS is currently positioned uniquely in the retail healthcare market. As Walgreens steps back, analysts are increasingly optimistic about CVS’s future growth and valuation. The consensus price target for CVS stands at $70.5, indicating a 23.9% upside. However, analysts at TD Cowen have raised their price target to $80, suggesting a remarkable potential upside of 41%.

Additionally, confidence from institutional investors is evident as State Street increased its holdings in CVS by 3.6%, raising its stake to $3.5 billion.

Kroger Stock: Momentum Suggests Growth Ahead

Kroger has shown steady momentum as it approaches a new 52-week high, indicating investor confidence is strong. Despite its upswing, there's potential for further growth as analysts revise their targets upwards.

Kroger MarketRank™ Analysis

Overall MarketRank™

97th Percentile

Analyst Rating

Moderate Buy

Upside/Downside

6.9% Upside

Short Interest Level

Healthy

Dividend Strength

Strong

Environmental Score

-2.13

News Sentiment

0.51

Insider Trading

Selling Shares

Projected Earnings Growth

4.72%

The consensus price target for Kroger is currently $62.6, which represents a modest 3.4% upside. However, analysts at Jefferies Financial Group have upgraded Kroger from Hold to Buy, raising their price target to $73, indicating a substantial upside of 20.5% as 2024 approaches.

Institutional interests align with this optimism; State Street has increased its holdings in Kroger by 6.8%, now investing a total of $1.9 billion in the company.

Chewy: A Premium Stock with Upside Potential

Chewy's stock is currently trading at a premium, boasting a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 28.4, significantly higher than its peers, which average around 5.5. While this may raise eyebrows among some investors, others recognize that the market often rewards companies anticipated to grow at above-average rates.

Chewy MarketRank™ Analysis

Overall MarketRank™

69th Percentile

Analyst Rating

Moderate Buy

Upside/Downside

8.1% Upside

Short Interest Level

Healthy

Dividend Strength

N/A

Environmental Score

N/A

News Sentiment

0.61

Insider Trading

Selling Shares

Projected Earnings Growth

42.42%

The consensus price for Chewy’s stock is $33.3, reflecting just a 5% upside. However, the Royal Bank of Canada has reiterated its Outperform rating, increasing the price target to $42, suggesting an impressive upside of 32.5%.

Chewy’s business model is robust, maintaining relevant demand regardless of economic conditions. Pet ownership remains a priority for consumers, supporting the high valuations seen in its stock today.

analysts, stocks, upgrades