Markets

Hong Kong Market Momentum: Analysts See Strength in Bull Run

Published June 6, 2024

The recent uptick in the breadth of success across Hong Kong stocks indicates that the bullish trend in one of Asia's key financial markets shows no signs of slowing down, as per insights from market specialists. Specifically, a greater number of stocks in the Hang Seng Index have been outperforming their benchmarks, demonstrating an investing strength that appears to propel the market forward.

Growing Confidence Among Stocks

An increase in the Hang Seng Index components trading above their respective 200-day moving averages is a healthy sign of a well-supported upswing in the market. Notably, this proportion has seen a steady surge since March. Kelvin Wong, an Oanda analyst, highlighted this trend as reflective of a solid uptrend. Back in February, Wong was optimistic about the outlook for Hong Kong stocks—a prediction that seems to be bearing fruit.

Expert Opinions Reinforce Positive Outlook

Even with some fluctuations, veteran investors have voiced optimism in Hong Kong's stock market. This sentiment comes amid earlier concerns when the market was underperforming. Global heavyweights in the investment arena, such as Ray Dalio and Mark Mobius, have also shared their positive stance on the potential of Chinese stocks, preferring the opportunities these markets present over the risks involved.

Backing the upturn in Hong Kong's stocks is China's encouraging economic performance and substantial investment inflows from the mainland. Recent data, including the May services industry PMI, suggest China's efforts to stimulate its economy are paying off, helping to stabilize the domestic financial picture.

Furthermore, the significant capital inflow noted through stock connect programs underlines the confidence investors have in the market, rallying behind attractive stock valuations and the strength of the Hong Kong dollar.

Economic Indicators and Market Resilience

Investors remain attentive to various technical thresholds, gauging the market's ability to maintain its upward trajectory. The Hang Seng Index's immediate technical support levels, including the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, provide insights into potential future movements. As analysts like Wong point out, holding above these levels is crucial to maintain the bull run.

The meticulous observation of these indicators, combined with the influx of positivism from economic data and market experts, continues to reinforce the impression that Hong Kong's stock market is poised for a continued period of growth.

HongKong, BullRun, Analyst