Finance

Affirm's Stock Takes a Hit Despite Beating Expectations

Published February 9, 2024

Prior to its latest earnings release, Affirm Holdings Inc. experienced a significant 125% rise in stock price over the past three months, which may have led to inflated expectations. While the fintech company surpassed anticipated figures in its fiscal second-quarter report, the stock saw a decline due to projected slowdowns. Analyst Kevin Barker noted that despite beating forecasts, a less optimistic second-half forecast regarding revenue, adjusted operating income, and gross merchandise volume could dampen investor enthusiasm and place short-term pressure on Affirm's shares, prompting him to maintain his underweight stock rating but increase his target price.

In the aftermath of the earnings report, Affirm's stock dropped over 13%. Analysts provided mixed takes on the company's valuation and future prospects. Andrew Bauch from Wells Fargo suggests that debates around the firm's valuation may be 'fruitless', given Affirm has no direct public competitors, which subjects it to market momentum's whims.

Some analysts remain skeptical about the stock's value. James Faucette from Morgan Stanley emphasized the overvaluation and questioned whether Affirm's performance justifies its current market price. On the flip side, Dan Dolev from Mizuho saw the drop as a potential buying opportunity, believing Affirm's targets to be achievable and the company to be notably innovative. He maintained a buy rating with an optimistic target price.

The varied analyst opinions highlight a complex picture for Affirm's stock, caught between impressive operational execution and challenging growth expectations in a volatile market.

Affirm, Stock, Valuation