Commodities

Indian Refiners Eyeing Additional Saudi Oil Following Price Reduction

Published January 9, 2024

In an economic landscape where oil prices profoundly affect market dynamics, two Indian state refiners are making significant moves in response to a notable price shift. In seeking to capitalize on the recently reduced Saudi crude prices, they aim to augment their oil imports from the kingdom. This strategic response occurs as Saudi Arabia announces a considerable cut in the official selling price of its central export grade for the upcoming February, setting it at its most modest level in over two years.

Surge in Import Demand

At the forefront of this import boost are Indian Oil Corp, the country's premier refiner, and Bharat Petroleum Corp, both looking to procure an additional one million barrels of Saudi oil. The procurement plans have taken shape swiftly after the Saudi official selling price cut. The timing aligns with the typical monthly notification process of Saudi Aramco, which informs Asian customers of their crude allocations by the 10th of each month. As of yet, there has been no public response from Indian oil companies or Saudi Aramco regarding Reuters' inquiries on this matter.

Redirecting Oil Sources

The developing situation underscores broader changes in the global oil trade landscape in the wake of geopolitical shifts. The Indian refiners' pivot towards Saudi oil imports partially arises from hurdles encountered in acquiring Russian Sokol crude, a light sweet variety. Notably, procurement challenges are attributed to payment complications.

Historically, India's oil consumption patterns have been heavily influenced by Russian crude, brought under favorable financial terms offered post the onset of western sanctions against Moscow. This development saw Russia ascend as India's prime oil supplier, pushing past Iraq and Saudi Arabia. However, recent U.S. sanctions under the $60-per-barrel price cap imposed by the Group of Seven nations, along with increased vigilance by financial institutions and service providers, have disrupted the supply of Sokol crude to India. This disruption is highlighted by the re-routing of tankers, culminating in a significant drop in Russian oil imports to India in December, reaching the lowest in eleven months.

Contrasting with the logistics narrative, India's oil minister has suggested that the reduced Russian oil imports are a consequence of uncompetitive pricing rather than transactional challenges. Adding to the complexity, IOC, which typically secures 6-7 Sokol shipments monthly under a yearly contract with Rosneft, may seek to increase supplies from West African producers, tapping into resources from Nigeria and Angola as compensation for the diminished Russian supply.

India, Saudi, Oil