Stocks

Adani Group's Market Valuation Plummets Following Modi's Marginal Election Victory

Published June 4, 2024

Recent developments in India's political landscape have had a significant impact on the Adani Group's financial standing as shares across all ten companies took a nosedive. After Prime Minister Narendra Modi's party secured a narrower-than-expected win in the election, the market valuation of Adani Group saw a massive reduction. The conglomerate suffered a staggering $45 billion loss in market value in just one day, marking the sharpest decline it has encountered to date.

Adani's Financial Woes Exacerbate

Gautam Adani, the founder of the Adani Group, experienced a significant blow to his wealth, with a decline of nearly $25 billion. This decrease in net worth resulted in him losing the title of Asia's richest person. Prior to this event, exit polls had seemingly affirmed a favorable outcome for Modi's party, which had briefly propelled the Adani Group's market value upwards by $20 billion. Nevertheless, the actual election results triggered an unprecedented sell-off, putting substantial pressure on the shares of the conglomerate.

The Relationship with Government and Investor Concerns

Investors have long perceived the success of the Adani Group as closely intertwined with Modi's political stature and mandate. Despite the Group’s affirmation that they can thrive under any administration and maintain no improper ties with the government, the market's reaction suggests otherwise. Both Modi and Gautam Adani share common roots in Gujarat and have seen their fortunes ascend together, particularly in sectors key to India's development such as infrastructure and green energy.

Impact on the Adani Shares and Broader Market

Adani Ports and Adani Energy, two subsidiaries within the Group, were among the hardest hit, with their shares plummeting 21% and 20%, respectively. Adani Enterprises, the flagship of the conglomerate, also saw a sharp decline of 19%. While the Group has faced losses previously—most notably during the Hindenburg Research short-seller attack—their recent recovery was wiped out by the latest market move. Furthermore, the Indian stock market also felt the ripples with the NSE Nifty 50 Index dropping 5.9%, indicating widespread investor trepidation about the ramifications of a close election on the government's reform agenda.

Adani, Modi, Election