Markets

Analysts Predict Continued Market Volatility Amid Earnings Season and Budget Announcements

Published January 16, 2024

As we head further into the current earnings season and draw nearer to the unveiling of the Union budget, markets are expected to exhibit increased volatility, as suggested by market analysts. A tumultuous period seems inevitable, indicating that investors should brace for potential fluctuations.

Underlying Factors of Market Instability

Hemen Kapadia, a senior vice president at KR Choksey Shares and Securities Pvt., points to recent erratic movements on the early chart, with notable gaps presenting on the upside. Such gaps often lead the market to attempt a correction, and indices like the Nifty may seek to fill in these voids in the near term.

The Nifty 50 and S&P BSE Sensex recently ended their five-day positive run, influenced by declines in key sectors and companies, signaling a potential shift in investor sentiment and market dynamics.

Analysts' Perspectives and Sector Outlooks

Despite short-term volatility, Kapadia maintains a positive outlook for the banking sector, even suggesting that the Bank Nifty could surpass significant milestones in the months ahead. He also expresses optimism regarding the real estate sector's performance for the ensuing years, particularly spotlighting its index's recent trajectories.

On the other hand, Sudip Bandyopadhyay of Inditrade Capital notes the market's anticipation of the upcoming budget and the third-quarter earnings as sources of investor apprehension, further contributing to market volatility. External factors, such as China's potential policy initiatives, also play a role in the unpredictability of certain sectors like metals.

Both Kapadia and Bandyopadhyay reveal their top picks in the banking and real estate sectors, with notable mentions of high-performing stocks and recommendations based on aggressive investment strategies.

Implications for Investors

Investors are advised to stay informed regarding the current and upcoming changes, both in terms of corporate earnings and government policies, as these elements could significantly impact market performance. As market experts forecast continued volatility, a prudent approach and careful assessment of sectors and individual stocks may be essential for navigating the uncertain landscape.

volatility, markets, analysts