Derivatives

Defensive Moves Surge in Regional Bank ETF Options Amid NYCB Struggles

Published February 1, 2024

In response to ongoing concerns in the U.S. regional banking sector, particularly after issues at New York Community Bancorp (NYCB), traders have significantly increased their options volume on SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) for the second day in a row. This defensive action comes as KRE shares dropped by 2%, while NYCB fell by a substantial 8%, marking a continuation of the downward trend that saw a dramatic single-day plunge of 37.6% after an unexpected loss and a cut in dividends was announced.

With the growing trading activity, KRE options volume soared to 490,000 contracts by early afternoon, showing trades at a rate sevenfold higher than usual. According to data from Trade Alert, put options, indicative of a bearish stance, outdid calls at a near 2-to-1 ratio.

One striking example is the flurry of activity around put options for NYCB set at a $4 strike price for mid-March. With roughly 26,000 of these contracts traded, investors show concern for potential further declines in the bank's stock price. The broad hesitancy in the sector is palpable, and the move towards protective trades suggests growing sentiment that the issues could be more widespread than just NYCB.

Analysts and professional portfolio managers are closely scrutinizing other regional banks for similar troubles. In light of this, traders are reducing their exposure proactively. Estimates from Ortex reveal that short sellers have made significant gains, particularly from NYCB's downturn. However, data indicates that the sector's overall short interest has declined recently.

Nonetheless, a noticeable increase in KRE's 30-day implied volatility indicates heightened market apprehension. While not at the extreme levels observed during last year's SVB Financial Group crisis, the rising volatility reflects the mounting concerns.

Despite the prevalent bearish outlook, some traders anticipate a possible rebound and are purchasing call options on KRE. The market is now watching closely for signs of whether NYCB's situation might be an isolated incident or a precursor to a broader banking issue.

trading, options, volatility