Markets

CAC 40 Sees Potential to Reach 10,000 Points amid Bullish Trends

Published March 21, 2024

The Paris stock exchange has been experiencing an impressive streak of gains, consistently setting new records as it crosses major technical milestones, most notably surpassing the 8,000-point barrier. The accumulation of all-time highs is a graphical indicator that investors are keen to maintain, if not amplify, the upward trend that has been developing since the previous autumn. This enthusiasm aligns well with the recent announcement from the Federal Reserve, which appeared to endorse the current high-performance levels, adding fuel to hopes of a sustained rally. However, the inclination among investors to cash in and take profits is palpable.

An Analyst's Insight on CAC 40's Trajectory

According to Alexandre Baradez, Chief Market Analyst at IG France, although the CAC 40 has shown remarkable uptrends, it may not surge dramatically right away but continues to hold substantial growth potential. When questioned about the resilience of this bullish trend over time, Baradez highlighted that despite the CAC 40's lofty valuation in comparison to its European peers, fundamental and technical indicators do not point towards a bearish trend for the index. The recent uptick has been a multi-sectoral affair, with leadership coming from luxury goods as well as significant contributions from the aerospace, automotive, tourism, leisure, and technology sectors. Such a broad-based rally suggests a robust market.

Responding to queries about future records, Baradez underlined the importance of time perspective. Short-term concerns are primarily rooted in the high valuations of the US markets and recent rate rebounds, which might prompt traders to secure profits at current levels. In the medium-term, however, Baradez remains optimistic, citing diversified composition and prospects of a Chinese economic recovery as reasons why the CAC 40 might continue its record-breaking momentum.

Technical Thresholds and Market Dynamics

Baradez identified 8,800 points as the next notable technical resistance level for the CAC 40, followed by the psychological landmark of 10,000 points. These, he believes, are achievable targets in the medium-term. On the downside, a potential support level exists around 7,800 points should US markets undergo a correction. Still, such a decrease would likely be viewed more as an opportunity than a setback, indicating that the market's sentiment could remain in a 'buy the dip' mode.

From an investment strategy standpoint, while short-term market adjustments might suggest taking gains at current levels, on a 12- to 24-month horizon, there is no fundamental or technical rationale to lock in profits before the index hits 10,000 points. Any downturns could present attractive entry points for investors, reinforcing the 'buy the dip' strategy confidence up to the 10,000-point milestone for the CAC 40.

CAC40, BullMarket, Investment