Markets

CAC 40 Index Enters a Cautious Phase with a Busy Economic Week in Sight

Published March 4, 2024

As the new week dawns, the Parisian stock market index CAC 40 seems set for a tentative start. Investors are bracing for a week full of vital monetary and economic developments.

The pre-market indications show a slight dip in the CAC 40 futures, down by 6.5 points, hinting at the market's ongoing consolidation trend.

Despite an impressive rally at the year's outset that brought about a 5% increase, the CAC 40's recent pace has been unhurried, now hovering just beneath record highs.

Monday might be low-key in terms of activity as the market anticipates a week packed with significant events, such as the ECB's monetary policy meeting and U.S. employment data release.

Market participants might benefit from today's session's subdued pace to catch their breath, with no major economic news expected to stir the markets significantly.

ECB Meeting Top of Mind for Investors

The eyes of the market are chiefly on the European Central Bank's monetary policy meeting on Thursday. It's broadly expected that the ECB will maintain its current policy stance, delaying any discussions about interest rate reductions to a later date.

The ECB is carefully monitoring the progress of the disinflation process in Europe. Recent figures indicate a slight easing in inflation, which reduces some pressure on the central bank.

A consensus among analysts suggests the potential for rate cuts could surface in the ECB's second quarter meetings, with June being a likely candidate for such a move.

U.S. Economic Data and Political Events Also in Focus

Adding to the week's anticipation, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to appear before the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday, potentially providing insights into the Fed's policy outlook.

Another significant item on the agenda is the release of U.S. monthly employment data on Friday, which might heavily influence market expectations for the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decisions.

Analysts are forecasting approximately 200,000 new jobs in February, a figure that if achieved, could impact the narrative around the strength of the U.S. job market and the Fed's subsequent actions.

Political developments are also likely to capture investor attention, particularly with 'Super Tuesday' primaries in the U.S., which might hint at what to expect from the upcoming election.

Analysis indicates that the key contenders in the election are widely predicted to take the lead in their respective political parties.

CAC40, ParisBourse, StockMarket