Commodities

Oil Prices Increase Amid Middle East Tensions and Rising Shipping Costs

Published December 20, 2023

Oil markets experienced an upswing on Wednesday, with prices recording gains for a third consecutive day. Over the past week, oil has seen a notable rise of approximately 9% due to escalating tensions in the Middle East.

Brent crude, the European oil benchmark, witnessed a 1.1% increase on Wednesday, pushing the price above the $80 per barrel mark, a position unseen since the beginning of December. Over the last three days, Brent has risen by nearly 5%, and it stands at an 8.8% increase on a weekly basis.

The U.S. counterpart, Nymex WTI, was not far behind with a 1.5% hike on Wednesday, priced at $75.06 per barrel. Similar to Brent, it has ascended by 5% in the recent trading sessions and 9.4% over the past week.

Investors in the United States Oil Fund (USO), which tracks light-sweet crude prices, saw a 0.9% increase at $70, summing up to an 8.9% gain in the week.

Red Sea Shippers Retreat Amid Repeated Attacks

Recent boosts in crude prices have been linked to increasing conflict in the Middle East. The Red Sea, a vital conduit for oil tankers bound for European and U.S. East Coast destinations, has been disrupted by Yemeni Houthi rebels, affecting the flow and causing shippers to retract from the region.

BP, among major oil companies, announced the cessation of Red Sea shipments following the unrest. Other major container shipping companies, such as Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd, followed suit in response to these attacks.

As a repercussion, companies continuing operations in the potentially volatile region face inflated insurance premiums. The Joint War Committee, an insurance advisory body, has broadened the list of Red Sea areas that necessitate war-risk insurance, indicating probable rate hikes from marine insurance providers like Lloyds of London, according to industry experts.

Cost Increases due to Detoured Shipping Routes

Those opting out of Red Sea routes due to security concerns are now taking lengthier paths around the Cape of Africa. This detour adds significant travel time, with delays of approximately two weeks to Rotterdam and ten days to North American destinations.

While delayed oil supplies will eventually reach markets and stabilize inventory levels, prolonged regional conflicts could mean sustained higher costs for shipping, whether due to longer alternative routes or increased insurance fees for braving the Red Sea passage.

Escalating Shipping Expenses

With the Suez Canal as a pivotal juncture for global trade, the current situation has prompted heightened shipping costs, delays, and diversions. The strategic deployment of U.S. and U.K. naval forces to the region—to hinder Houthi drone activity—casts the potential for further complications, particularly given Iran's backing of the Yemeni rebels.

Oil, Brent, WTI, Shipping, Tensions, MiddleEast, Insurance, RedSea